|  navigation 
      ... the big picture
 
      Irv Lee offers confidence for those 
      who find navigation an uncertain business. reproduced from GASCO
 Irv Lee works mostly out of Popham, which is an 
      unlicensed airfield that is the base for some 110 aeroplanes and 
      microlights and has a club with around 500 members. You will find it by 
      road or by air half a thumb south west of Basingstoke, ' just off the 
      A303. Why do I speak , in thumbs? Read on. Irv is an experienced instructor who gave up a 
      successful career in IT to offer instruction and advice to pilots who 
      already have a PPL, but want to extend their experience and skills. You 
      may have encountered him as part of the Flying Doctor series in 
      Flyer magazine and full details of what he offers can be found on
      www.higherplane.flyer.co.uk . This article sprang from a chance conversation between 
      Irv and myself on the thorny issue of navigation. I asked Irv whether the 
      introduction by the CAA of a navigation leg in the requirements for a 
      revalidation or renewal test was causing any problems for PPLs. I asked 
      the question because on the www.flyontrack.co.uk website 
      there is frequent discussion on how it is that PPLs keep busting control 
      areas with such sad regularity and why poor standards of navigation are so 
      common. I seemed to touch a sensitive spot here, and Irv reported that he 
      does encounter PPLs whose aircraft handling skills are fine, but whose 
      navigation is substandard. Can I use GPS?, was the question most 
      frequently put when a pilot discovered the new requirement for the 
      navigation leg. In parenthesis, I should explain at this point that if 
      you are one of the many who revalidate their PPL by flying at least 12 
      hours in two years and take a flight with an instructor (a revalidation 
      flight) during that time, then that instructor may not seek to explore 
      your navigational ability. But if you are one of those' who, for all sorts 
      of reasons, needs a revalidation or renewal test, then you will 
      have to undertake the navigation leg and a fail in that will mean an 
      outright fail. Whatever the regulations may require, it does seem to 
      Irv, and to me a sad state of affairs if there are many pilots amongst us 
      whose handling skills are good but whose navigation is too uncertain for 
      them to contemplate leaving their local area without the help of GPS. The 
      pages of this magazine are often filled with the forthright comments of 
      both the supporters and the decriers of GPS. Irv Lee is one of the 
      supporters but neither Irv nor any other supporter claims that pilots 
      should put all their trust in GPS and make no check of their navigational 
      progress by other means. For the VFR pilot 'other means' must almost 
      always mean visual navigation, that is to say, the techniques that we were 
      all taught in order to get our licences in the first place. A lot of the problem, as Irv sees it, is that the 
      standard VFR navigation techniques - the whizzy wheel, the stop watch, the 
      compass and the map with its track and 5 degree and 10 degree off track 
      lines - leave many PPLs feeling defeated and confused. You study the Met, 
      you draw all those lines, you whiz the wheel and you end up with a heading 
      of 248 degrees and a time to the first checkpoint of 13 minutes. You fly, 
      as best as you can, 248 degrees for 13 minutes and there you are, 
      uncertain of your position again. You fly on for a further 5 minutes and 
      things get no better, so once again you sadly lament your failure as a 
      navigator and your utter reliance on your GPS set, whether it is right or 
      wrong. Irv acknowledges that the classic VFR navigational 
      techniques, with all their absorbing detail, are meat and drink for some 
      PPLs. Their plots before the flight are masterpieces of intricacy and 
      their flight logs after the flight are miniature copy books, straight out 
      of a manual of navigation. For others, however, the flight log ceases 
      somewhere about the first checkpoint as the pilot searches in vain for the 
      cross between a river and a railway line that should have appeared. Four 
      minutes after the ETA has passed that pilot eventually comes across a 
      river and railway line cross, seizes on this without further checking and 
      steams off on the next section into the even more unknown. At that point, 
      as confusion and tension heighten, any further attempt to maintain a log 
      is abandoned. If your own navigation sounds more like the second 
      version above, take heart. It may be that the classic technique is not 
      really for you and you need to try something along the lines of Irv Lee's 
      Big Picture navigation. If this sounds like an easy cop out for 
      simpletons, take heart. A millennium or so ago, I was taught something 
      very similar in the RAF. They called it Pilot Nav, and they argued that 
      someone hurtling around the sky in a single seater would have neither the 
      time nor the inclination to dwell upon the minutiae of navigation and so 
      they made us simplify the whole procedure and, in effect, to think mostly 
      about what Irv now calls the Big Picture. A more defining title for this method might be termed,
      When Airborne, Approximate and Simplify. So you do all the pre 
      flight planning and preparation as you have always done, but in the air 
      you concentrate on the Big Picture and avoid too much confusing detail. 
      For example, your whizzy wheel commanded a heading for the first leg of 
      248 degrees, but consider in practice, what this will mean. If you set out 
      on a heading of 248 degrees, how closely will you actually fly to this 
      figure, assuming that you will also be dealing adequately with all the 
      other tasks of the flight? You will do well to end up averaging a heading 
      of anything between 245 and 250 degrees. And how did you arrive at this magical figure of 248 
      degrees in the first place? Well you fed into the whizzy wheel a True Air 
      Speed (TAS) figure whose accuracy much nearer than, say, two or three KTS 
      either way must be questionable. Worse, you fed in a forecast wind, but 
      how confident are you that the actual wind has turned out the same as was 
      forecast? 
       "Life's too short", says Reggie Bender, "to phone 0500 354802 before take 
      off "
 So, after allowing for vagaries in your heading keeping 
      ability, the variations from your plot figures of TAS and wind speed and 
      your invariable failure to apply the compass deviation shown on the card 
      near your aircraft's compass (does anyone?), you cannot regard that 248 
      degrees as anything more than an approximation anyway, no matter how much 
      care you may have put into its original calculation. So the Big Picture is 
      that you are setting out on your first leg on a roughly WSWIy heading 
      which should take you roughly in the direction of the first check point 
      but do not imagine that the features that lie along your carefully drawn 
      track line are going to pop up, one by one, as the flight proceeds. Look 
      upwards, Big Picture pilot, if not to the skies, then at least towards the 
      horizon and navigate as much by what you see there as by what lies 
      directly beneath.  
       The smart new Pilots' Briefing Room at Popham.
 There's a range of hills coming up on your right in the 
      middle distance and that must be the Quantocks, there's a whole lot of 
      flat countryside beneath with no particular features but on this heading 
      you will meet the M5 before long and will then be able to identify 
      Bridgwater or Taunton. So meanwhile, although you cannot tell precisely 
      where you are, you know where you are going, so you will stick to your 
      heading, keep scanning the horizon for more clues (the Bristol Channel 
      coastline?, the Blackdown hills?) and expect to cross the M5 in six 
      minutes time. If you cannot see it in three minutes, something will be 
      amiss and you will have to take action (e.g. climb in a circle while 
      looking for more clues, seek help from Yeovilton LARS, or call Distress 
      and Diversion on 121.5 - they genuinely welcome a little challenge). 
      Meanwhile, you should just check that six minutes to the MS estimate. 
      Refer back to the last definitely known position (that's 'definitely', not 
      `probably') and apply Irv Lee's Rule of Thumb. 
       Your typical six minute thumb aeroplane. (W J Bushell)
 Irv Lee's Rule of Thumb is both simple and effective. 
      It says, quite simply, that, with neither headwind nor tailwind, you fly 
      across the map at the rate of 6 minutes per thumb. How does he know that? 
      Because as well as having a degree in Aeronautical Engineering, he can do 
      simple arithmetic. Your average light aeroplane cruises between 90 and 110 
      KTS and your average thumb's knuckle to tip measures about 10 n.m. on a 
      half mill map. 10 n.m. is about one tenth of the amount the average light 
      aeroplane does in an hour and one tenth of one hour is six minutes. Irv's 
      case rests: in no wind one thumb equals six minutes. Sticklers for accuracy can make their own adjustments 
      to this Rule to match their own particular thumb/aeroplane combination and 
      we must all have our own still air thumb time to start from. A large 
      thumbed goalkeeping giant flying a flexwing might have an 12 minute thumb, 
      while a small thumbed petite lady flying a Columbia 400 might have a three 
      minute thumb but for most of us it is going to be pretty close to six 
      minutes. That's all very well for the no headwind or tailwind 
      situation but for most of the time we have that factor to take into 
      consideration. Here's how a Big Picture navigator works out the effect of 
      a headwind or tailwind once airborne. You start with the forecast wind: 
      let's say it is 280 deg/ 20 KTS. If your heading is 248 deg, the wind is 
      about 30 deg off the nose. Common sense tells you that if the wind is in 
      exactly the same or in exactly the opposite direction as your heading, you 
      must apply all of the wind as your headwind or tailwind component. As for 
      other wind directions, you must either commit the next bit to memory or 
      write it down on your knee pad: 
       
       If the wind is 
       45 deg off your heading, allow three quarters of the wind for your 
       headwind/tailwind component and if 
       it is 60 deg off, allow half. Interpolate (i.e. make a rough guess) for 
       anything else. These fractions are not absolutely accurate (but then, 
      nor is the forecast wind) but they are near enough for Big Picture nav. So 
      in the case in point, we are looking at nearly 20 KTS of headwind, in 
      which case our ground speed is going to be around 80 KTS and one thumb 
      will then represent 10/80 ths (one eighth) of an hour, or 60/8 minutes, or 
      7Yz minutes. If you want to devise a table of thumb distances for 
      different ground speeds, you can, but you might well do better to keep 
      things simple and to just reckon that if you have a substantial headwind 
      on a leg, your minutes per thumb are going to be a fair bit more than the 
      standard six: say, seven or eight minutes in this case. 
       A thumb will be worth more than six minutes in this one. (W J Bushell)
 Are you getting the idea? When airborne you deal all 
      the time in approximations and in that way you keep yourself in touch with 
      what is really going on in practice, and you don't bother much about the 
      theory. Always consider what the wind is doing to you and what the 
      appropriate number of minutes per thumb should be on each leg. Drift is the other issue to consider. A 100 KTS 
      aeroplane suffers 3 deg maximum drift for every 5 KTS of crosswind. So a 
      10 KTS crosswind will give 6 deg maximum drift and 20 KTS will give 12 
      deg. That works just fine for a crosswind blowing at 90 deg to our 
      heading, but what about crosswinds from other directions? In our example, 
      the wind is 20 KTS, so that could cause drift up to a maximum of 12 deg, 
      depending on the wind's direction in relation to our heading. This is the Rule: Allow half of the maximum crosswind at 30 deg off and 
      all at 60 deg off or more. Interpolate in between. Again, these are only approximate figures but they are 
      good enough for the Big Picture. The maximum drift from our 20 KTS wind is 12 deg and our  280/20 
      wind is blowing at 30 deg to our 248 deg heading. We must allow half of 
      the maximum for a 30 deg crosswind so we must allow 6 deg. So lets try 
      that again with a wind this time of 145/25 on our 248 deg heading. The wind direction is 100 deg less than our heading, so 
      that means that there is virtually no tailwind component and our thumb 
      will represent six minutes on this leg. At 3 deg max drift per 5 KTS of 
      crosswind the 25 KTS crosswind will create 15 deg max drift. The crosswind 
      is well over 60 deg off - nearly 90 deg in fact - so we take the maximum 
      of 15 deg and we steer, say, 235 deg (once airborne, life's too short to 
      worry about intervals of less than five degrees). So that is all that you need to know about time and 
      drift. Of the two, time is probably the more important. Unconfident pilots 
      usually manage to fly within a reasonable corridor along the planned 
      track, even if they fail to identify any part of the terrain beneath at 
      times. (They would be wise, in any case, to look out for any features 
      within, say, 10 n.m. of the track line and thus allow for a bit of 
      wandering from track.) However, they can easily become fixated on just 
      sticking to their heading, sometimes well after the ETA for the next 
      waypoint, in the forlorn hope that the waypoint is going to appear 
      magically at last. So be disciplined about your ETA and if the waypoint 
      fails to appear on time, do something positive. 
 Always consider 
      what the wind is doing to you and what theappropriate number of minutes per thumb should be on each leg.
 
 Irv Lee's Higher Plane seminar takes a whole day and 
      navigation is only a part of it. This is not the time to stray into other 
      issues, but here are two that have an important bearing on navigation and 
      should therefore be mentioned. The first is the forecast wind. Most pilots use Metform 
      214 as their source of information here and tend to regard its word as 
      gospel. Excellent as our Met Office is, their Metform 214 needs the 
      application of some caution before using any wind forecast. Looking at the 
      spot wind forecast at 0845Z today for the winds between 0600 and 1200, I 
      see that the nearest box is forecasting a 2,000 ft wind of 270/10. So if I 
      am going to make my flight later this morning, that is the wind I should 
      use. Or is it? Consider some other factors: the next nearest box, not much 
      further away than the nearest, shows VRB/10. The forecast is dated 0312Z 
      so by 1200Z the forecast will be nine hours old, and an awful lot can 
      happen to our British weather in nine hours, some of it sometimes 
      unforetold. 
       Still a six minute thumb for this one - but all three thumb sections in 
      this case. (via W J Bushell)
 Irv Lee therefore counsels a reality check before take 
      off. Find out what is the surface wind at your departure airfield. Do you 
      recall that during the day the 2,000 ft wind is usually about 30 deg more 
      and is double the strength of the surface wind, less 10 per cent? Apply 
      those figures to the current surface wind and compare the result with your 
      forecast wind. If they differ significantly, then ignore the forecast wind 
      and use your new calculated actual wind; it will be far more accurate. As you fly your route, do not imagine that the 2,000 ft 
      wind will necessarily remain constant but put your faith in observation of 
      the wind effect on the first thumbful of each leg. That is the most 
      accurate forecast wind that you will ever get, and you don't have to make 
      all those theoretical calculations, you just observe that this leg is 
      giving you a five and a half minute thumb and a bit of drift to the right. 
 Find out what is the 
      surface wind at your departure airfield. 
 The final issue is NOTAMs. Getting hold of NOTAMs can be 
      difficult and deriving useful, relevant and practical information from 
      them can be even more so. Consequently an awful lot of pilots do not even 
      try. The result of busting a Temporary Restricted Airspace (a TRA is 
      usually a Royal Flight) could be bad enough but what might happen if you 
      were to find yourself in the middle of a Red Arrows display scarcely bears 
      thinking about. Nonetheless 14 hapless pilots have bust Red Arrows 
      displays in the past three years. Fortunately there have been no mid airs 
      so far, although several PPLs have been severely punished. Irv's point is 
      simple: while there may be some rather unconvincing excuses for not 
      getting and understanding NOTAMs there can be absolutely no excuse for 
      not, at least, phoning 0500 354802 for information on TRAs and Red Arrows 
      displays on that day. It's free, it takes only about a minute, and pilots 
      who cannot be bothered at least to make this simple check before take off 
      will have few friends if their idleness leads to a Red Arrows bust.
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